Pergolettese 0-1 Renate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
37%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.03
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
5.44
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.5pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.1pp
37%
Away Win
28%
+8.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Renate EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +22%
1.24/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.04
+0% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
348 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pergolettese
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Renate
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.08.2025 Pergolettese Pergolettese 1-1 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTCK
18.04.2025 Renate Renate 2-1 HT 1-1 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
07.12.2024 Pergolettese Pergolettese 0-1 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
20.01.2024 Renate Renate 1-5 HT 1-2 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
16.09.2023 Pergolettese Pergolettese 0-0 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
12.03.2023 Pergolettese Pergolettese 3-0 HT 1-0 Renate Renate İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pergolettese
0-1
AWAY Renate
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pergolettese vs Renate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renate edged past Pergolettese 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Renate found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pergolettese had 55% of the ball to Renate's 45%, shots finished 14-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pergolettese and 0.83 for Renate.

What was the final score of Pergolettese vs Renate?

Pergolettese 0-1 Renate in the Italy - Serie C on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pergolettese vs Renate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pergolettese win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pergolettese 38%, draw 25%, Renate 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pergolettese) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pergolettese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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