Pro Patria 2-3 Pro Vercelli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
16%
5.11
6+ Goals
9%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.2pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -20%
1.07/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.48
-8% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
297 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Patria
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Pro Vercelli
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.05.2025 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-0 HT 1-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
10.05.2025 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-0 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
12.04.2025 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 2-2 HT 0-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
01.12.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-1 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
18.08.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 0-0 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTCK
05.03.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 2-1 HT 1-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Patria
2-3
AWAY Pro Vercelli
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pro Patria vs Pro Vercelli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Vercelli squeezed past Pro Patria 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Pro Vercelli made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pro Patria had 45% of the ball to Pro Vercelli's 55%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pro Patria had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pro Patria and 0.83 for Pro Vercelli.

What was the final score of Pro Patria vs Pro Vercelli?

Pro Patria 2-3 Pro Vercelli in the Italy - Serie C on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Patria vs Pro Vercelli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pro Patria win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pro Patria 39%, draw 28%, Pro Vercelli 33%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pro Patria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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