Cittadella 4-1 Virtus Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
60%
-12.5pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.7pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+9.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cittadella EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 21%
-86% / -86% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.29
-49% / -66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +33%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
448 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cittadella
4-1
AWAY Virtus Verona
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Cittadella vs Virtus Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cittadella ran out comfortable winners over Virtus Verona 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cittadella as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Cittadella had 59% of the ball to Virtus Verona's 41%, shots finished 14-8.

What was the final score of Cittadella vs Virtus Verona?

Cittadella 4-1 Virtus Verona in the Friendlies on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cittadella vs Virtus Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cittadella win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cittadella 47%, draw 25%, Virtus Verona 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cittadella), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cittadella) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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