Deportivo Moron 1-0 Nueva Chicago — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.53
No
54%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.3pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.0pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
36%
+10.4pp
54%
BTTS No
64%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 23%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
1.10/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/0.94
-13% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
271 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Moron
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Nueva Chicago
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
20.04.2025 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-2 HT 0-2 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
13.10.2024 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-1 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
26.05.2024 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 1-0 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
24.09.2023 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
13.05.2023 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 1-0 HT 1-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
15.08.2022 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Moron vs Nueva Chicago
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Moron nicked a narrow win over Nueva Chicago 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo Moron as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Moron had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Moron and 0.50 for Nueva Chicago.

What was the final score of Deportivo Moron vs Nueva Chicago?

Deportivo Moron 1-0 Nueva Chicago in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Moron vs Nueva Chicago?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Moron win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Moron 48%, draw 31%, Nueva Chicago 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Moron), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Moron) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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