Guabira 1-0 Nacional Potosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.9pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guabira EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 30%
+11% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.76/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.24
+28% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
243 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
16.8 Crosses 17.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guabira
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Nacional Potosi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.16 xG 1.88
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
182 Passes 359
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2025 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 3-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
25.10.2024 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 3-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
26.05.2024 Guabira Guabira 1-1 HT 1-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
26.11.2023 Guabira Guabira 6-1 HT 4-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
29.05.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 6-0 HT 3-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
05.10.2022 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 3-1 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guabira
1-0
AWAY Nacional Potosi
1.30 xG 0.13
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 0
237 Passes 249
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 4
13 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Guabira vs Nacional Potosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guabira squeezed past Nacional Potosi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Guabira as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Guabira had 49% of the ball to Nacional Potosi's 51%, shots finished 16-3, expected goals 1.30 to 0.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Potosi led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Guabira and 2.83 for Nacional Potosi.

What was the final score of Guabira vs Nacional Potosi?

Guabira 1-0 Nacional Potosi in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guabira vs Nacional Potosi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guabira win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Guabira 51%, draw 24%, Nacional Potosi 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guabira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guabira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BOLİ More Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme
24 Aug 2025
22:00 Blooming vs Universitario de Vinto Analysis →