VVV-Venlo 3-1 Roda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.32
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
28%
2.71
6+ Goals
13%
7.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.57
1/2
7%
24.1
1/X
7%
12.15
X/1
7%
6.0
X/2
11%
5.91
X/X
10%
5.36
2/1
8%
24.5
2/2
19%
3.48
2/X
6%
12.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.0pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.6pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Roda EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -13%
1.47/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.62
-13% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
21.6 Crosses 18.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VVV-Venlo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Roda
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.26 xG 1.48
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
297 Passes 370
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Roda Roda 1-4 HT 0-2 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
25.08.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-1 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL2
07.04.2024 Roda Roda 2-1 HT 1-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
14.10.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-1 HT 0-0 Roda Roda HOL2
19.03.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-1 HT 0-0 Roda Roda HOL2
07.10.2022 Roda Roda 4-1 HT 1-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VVV-Venlo
3-1
AWAY Roda
2.06 xG 2.08
40% Ball Possession 60%
18 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
235 Passes 378
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH VVV-Venlo vs Roda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VVV-Venlo beat Roda 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 22% / 37%) promised a tight game; VVV-Venlo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, VVV-Venlo had 40% of the ball to Roda's 60%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 2.06 to 2.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for VVV-Venlo and 1.67 for Roda.

What was the final score of VVV-Venlo vs Roda?

VVV-Venlo 3-1 Roda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VVV-Venlo vs Roda?

Before kick-off our model rated a VVV-Venlo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split VVV-Venlo 40%, draw 22%, Roda 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VVV-Venlo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (VVV-Venlo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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