El Geish 0-1 Ismaily — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.33
Over 2.5
37%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.67
No
52%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.0pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.0pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
72%
-8.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
28%
+8.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
33%
+14.4pp
52%
BTTS No
67%
-14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Geish EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Ismaily EU Bookmakers 27%
-12% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.12/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.00
-39% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
21.4 Crosses 13.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Geish
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Ismaily
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.43 xG 0.87
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
276 Passes 346
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2025 El Geish El Geish 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MISLK
13.03.2025 El Geish El Geish 0-1 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
31.01.2025 Ismaily Ismaily 1-2 HT 1-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
24.08.2024 El Geish El Geish 1-1 HT 1-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSRK
14.05.2024 El Geish El Geish 1-1 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
05.11.2023 Ismaily Ismaily 2-3 HT 1-1 El Geish El Geish MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Geish
0-1
AWAY Ismaily
0.87 xG 0.68
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 2
255 Passes 322
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH El Geish vs Ismaily
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ismaily nicked a narrow win over El Geish 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was El Geish at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, El Geish had 47% of the ball to Ismaily's 53%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.87 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Geish had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for El Geish and 1.00 for Ismaily.

What was the final score of El Geish vs Ismaily?

El Geish 0-1 Ismaily in the Egypt - Premier League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Geish vs Ismaily?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Geish win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split El Geish 45%, draw 30%, Ismaily 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (El Geish) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (El Geish) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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