ADT vs Melgar Prediction — Model Probabilities
ADT v Melgar — Team-Based Signals
ADT vs Melgar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
ADT 2-2 Melgar — Actual Match Statistics
ADT and Melgar shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Melgar at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.
By the numbers, ADT had 54% of the ball to Melgar's 46%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 1.92 to 2.10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for ADT and 2.17 for Melgar.
ADT vs Melgar Result & Final Score
ADT 2 - 2 Melgar in the Peru - Premier League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
ADT vs Melgar Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split ADT 24%, draw 29%, Melgar 47%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Melgar), Under 2.5 went the other way.