Chayka 0-3 Arsenal Tula — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
50%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
5%
X/2
29%
X/X
4%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
24%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.0pp
50%
Away Win
47%
+3.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chayka EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 50%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.21/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.72
+26% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +26%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
269 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chayka
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Arsenal Tula
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2025 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 0-0 HT 0-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
21.10.2024 Chayka Chayka 2-2 HT 1-1 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chayka
0-3
AWAY Arsenal Tula
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chayka vs Arsenal Tula
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Tula cruised past Chayka 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arsenal Tula as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chayka had 41% of the ball to Arsenal Tula's 59%, shots finished 6-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chayka and 1.00 for Arsenal Tula.

What was the final score of Chayka vs Arsenal Tula?

Chayka 0-3 Arsenal Tula in the Russia - FNL on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chayka vs Arsenal Tula?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal Tula win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Chayka 23%, draw 27%, Arsenal Tula 50%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal Tula), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal Tula) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS1 More Russia - FNL
24 Aug 2025
10:00 SKA Khabarovsk vs Spartak Kostroma Analysis →
18:00 Fakel vs Neftekhimik Analysis →