Macclesfield 2-0 Gainsborough Trinity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.0pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.8pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.9pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macclesfield EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +20%
2.34/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.41
+13% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +39%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
435 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macclesfield
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
23.12.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-3 HT 1-2 Macclesfield Macclesfield İNGNLP
19.08.2023 Macclesfield Macclesfield 3-0 HT 2-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Macclesfield vs Gainsborough Trinity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macclesfield saw off Gainsborough Trinity 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Macclesfield as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Macclesfield had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Macclesfield and 0.50 for Gainsborough Trinity.

What was the final score of Macclesfield vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Macclesfield 2-0 Gainsborough Trinity in the England - Non League Premier on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macclesfield vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macclesfield win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Macclesfield 49%, draw 24%, Gainsborough Trinity 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macclesfield) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Macclesfield) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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