Oulu 1-0 Inter Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
31%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.8
Over 2.5
39%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.76
No
57%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
3.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.83
6+ Goals
7%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 35% vs market 27.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.6
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
11%
13.9
X/1
16%
6.23
X/2
13%
4.73
X/X
13%
4.5
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
12%
3.14
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
31%
Away Win
42%
-11.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.2pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oulu EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 46%
-19% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
0.97/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.67
-27% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 81%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.7
15.5 Crosses 22.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oulu
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Inter Turku
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.80 xG 1.42
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
344 Passes 316
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Oulu Oulu 1-0 HT 1-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
12.04.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-3 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
03.09.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-1 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
11.06.2023 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 0-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
18.03.2023 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 0-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FLK
21.08.2022 Oulu Oulu 0-3 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oulu
1-0
AWAY Inter Turku
1.49 xG 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 13
305 Passes 513
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 41
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oulu vs Inter Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oulu edged past Inter Turku 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Oulu made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Oulu had 38% of the ball to Inter Turku's 62%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.49 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Turku led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Oulu and 1.67 for Inter Turku.

What was the final score of Oulu vs Inter Turku?

Oulu 1-0 Inter Turku in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oulu vs Inter Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oulu win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Oulu 39%, draw 30%, Inter Turku 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oulu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Oulu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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