San Carlos 2-2 Santos de Guapiles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
69%
-8.1pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.0pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Carlos EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 15%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
2.38/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.18
+9% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
414 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Carlos
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 6
6 Corners 4
21.08.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTK
18.08.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-4 HT 0-1 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
28.02.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 4-0 HT 1-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
17.01.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 2-4 HT 0-2 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
09.11.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-2 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
10.09.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 2-2 HT 1-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
POST-MATCH San Carlos vs Santos de Guapiles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Carlos and Santos de Guapiles shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had San Carlos at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Carlos had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for San Carlos and 0.67 for Santos de Guapiles.

What was the final score of San Carlos vs Santos de Guapiles?

San Carlos 2-2 Santos de Guapiles in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Carlos vs Santos de Guapiles?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Carlos win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split San Carlos 61%, draw 20%, Santos de Guapiles 19%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (San Carlos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Carlos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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