Örebro 1-1 Varbergs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.4
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.18
6+ Goals
9%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.2
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
11%
6.25
X/2
7%
5.35
X/X
13%
4.82
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
29.0
2/2
23%
3.3
2/X
5%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 7% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-3.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.8pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örebro EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.24/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.62
-17% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örebro
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Varbergs
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2025 Varbergs Varbergs 2-1 HT 1-1 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
05.10.2024 Varbergs Varbergs 1-1 HT 0-1 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
22.04.2024 Örebro Örebro 3-1 HT 1-0 Varbergs Varbergs İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Örebro
1-1
AWAY Varbergs
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Örebro vs Varbergs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örebro and Varbergs shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Örebro had 54% of the ball to Varbergs's 46%, shots finished 17-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Örebro and 1.33 for Varbergs.

What was the final score of Örebro vs Varbergs?

Örebro 1-1 Varbergs in the Sweden - Superettan on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örebro vs Varbergs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Örebro win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Örebro 39%, draw 24%, Varbergs 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Örebro), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Örebro) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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