Floriana 3-1 Zabbar St. Patrick — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.2pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floriana EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 23%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
1.39/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.68
-2% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +88% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floriana
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2025 Floriana Floriana 1-0 HT 1-0 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MALTP
28.08.2024 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 0-3 HT 0-3 Floriana Floriana MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Floriana
3-1
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Floriana vs Zabbar St. Patrick
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floriana beat Zabbar St. Patrick 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Floriana as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Floriana had 40% of the ball to Zabbar St. Patrick's 60%, shots finished 4-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Floriana had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Floriana and 0.00 for Zabbar St. Patrick.

What was the final score of Floriana vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Floriana 3-1 Zabbar St. Patrick in the Malta - Premier League on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floriana vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Before kick-off our model rated a Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Floriana 48%, draw 27%, Zabbar St. Patrick 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Floriana), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Floriana) ✓ BTTS Yes
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