Valletta 4-1 Mosta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.43
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
28%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-4.2pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.2pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.4pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valletta EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Mosta EU Bookmakers 16%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +2%
1.17/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.62
-20% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
451 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valletta
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Mosta
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Mosta Mosta 1-0 HT 0-0 Valletta Valletta MLTP
06.02.2024 Mosta Mosta 2-1 HT 2-0 Valletta Valletta MLTAK
30.09.2023 Valletta Valletta 1-1 HT 0-1 Mosta Mosta MLTP
19.02.2023 Valletta Valletta 0-0 HT 0-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
15.10.2022 Mosta Mosta 3-1 HT 0-0 Valletta Valletta MLTP
30.04.2022 Valletta Valletta 2-3 HT 0-3 Mosta Mosta MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valletta
4-1
AWAY Mosta
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Valletta vs Mosta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valletta swept aside Mosta 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Valletta as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valletta had 61% of the ball to Mosta's 39%, shots finished 22-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mosta led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Valletta and 1.67 for Mosta.

What was the final score of Valletta vs Mosta?

Valletta 4-1 Mosta in the Malta - Premier League on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valletta vs Mosta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valletta win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Valletta 62%, draw 21%, Mosta 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valletta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valletta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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