Milsami 1-1 Petrocub — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.3pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milsami EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Petrocub EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.06/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.57
-32% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +104% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milsami
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Petrocub
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
31.08.2025 Petrocub Petrocub 2-1 HT 1-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
26.04.2025 Petrocub Petrocub 2-0 HT 2-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
16.04.2025 Milsami Milsami 1-0 HT 0-0 Petrocub Petrocub MOLDK
03.04.2025 Petrocub Petrocub 2-1 HT 2-1 Milsami Milsami MOLDK
16.03.2025 Milsami Milsami 5-1 HT 2-0 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
30.10.2024 Milsami Milsami 0-2 HT 0-1 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milsami
1-1
AWAY Petrocub
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Milsami vs Petrocub
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milsami and Petrocub shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Milsami at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Milsami had 33% of the ball to Petrocub's 67%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Petrocub led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Milsami and 1.50 for Petrocub.

What was the final score of Milsami vs Petrocub?

Milsami 1-1 Petrocub in the Moldova - National League on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milsami vs Petrocub?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milsami win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Milsami 43%, draw 25%, Petrocub 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Milsami), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Milsami) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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