Milsami 1-0 Petrocub — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - Cup, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.5pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.8pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.2pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milsami EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Petrocub EU Bookmakers 32%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-36% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
259 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milsami
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Petrocub
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.04.2025 Petrocub Petrocub 2-1 HT 2-1 Milsami Milsami MOLDK
16.03.2025 Milsami Milsami 5-1 HT 2-0 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
30.10.2024 Milsami Milsami 0-2 HT 0-1 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
28.09.2024 Petrocub Petrocub 2-1 HT 0-1 Milsami Milsami MOLD
06.04.2024 Petrocub Petrocub 3-0 HT 1-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
28.10.2023 Milsami Milsami 1-1 HT 1-1 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milsami
1-0
AWAY Petrocub
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Milsami vs Petrocub
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milsami squeezed past Petrocub 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Milsami as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Milsami had 45% of the ball to Petrocub's 55%, shots finished 6-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Petrocub led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Milsami and 1.83 for Petrocub.

What was the final score of Milsami vs Petrocub?

Milsami 1-0 Petrocub in the Moldova - Cup on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milsami vs Petrocub?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milsami win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Milsami 44%, draw 22%, Petrocub 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milsami), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Milsami) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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