CSF Balti 0-1 FC Sheriff — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - Cup, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.4
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
49%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
16%
+7.5pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.5pp
49%
Away Win
62%
-12.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.6pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSF Balti EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 66%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -71% / -71%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-100% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -100%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
256 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSF Balti
1W-0D-5L
AWAY FC Sheriff
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-1 HT 1-1 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
02.04.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 4-1 HT 3-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLDK
21.09.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 1-0 HT 0-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
18.05.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-1 HT 1-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
13.04.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-0 HT 1-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
03.12.2023 CSF Balti CSF Balti 3-1 HT 1-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSF Balti
0-1
AWAY FC Sheriff
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CSF Balti vs FC Sheriff
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sheriff squeezed past CSF Balti 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Sheriff as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CSF Balti had 55% of the ball to FC Sheriff's 45%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CSF Balti and 2.00 for FC Sheriff.

What was the final score of CSF Balti vs FC Sheriff?

CSF Balti 0-1 FC Sheriff in the Moldova - Cup on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSF Balti vs FC Sheriff?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split CSF Balti 23%, draw 28%, FC Sheriff 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sheriff), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MOLDK More Moldova - Cup
16 Apr 2025
15:00 Milsami vs Petrocub Analysis →