Vancouver Whitecaps 5-0 Portland Timbers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 24 Oct 2024

📅24/10/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
2.84
6+ Goals
12%
7.87
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.72 — our 27% vs market 16.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.49
1/2
6%
22.3
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
13%
7.01
X/2
18%
4.95
X/X
10%
5.57
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
17%
2.77
2/X
9%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-3.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.9pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -47% / -47%
1.18/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/3.39
-14% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% / -56%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 82%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
19.4 Crosses 15.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Portland Timbers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.68 xG 1.16
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
372 Passes 408
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 HT 1-1 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
23.06.2024 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-0 HT 2-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
31.03.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 3-2 HT 2-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
27.08.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-3 HT 0-2 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
14.05.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 3-1 HT 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
09.04.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-0 HT 0-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
5-0
AWAY Portland Timbers
2.48 xG 0.70
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
375 Passes 459
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
31 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vancouver Whitecaps vs Portland Timbers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver Whitecaps ran out comfortable winners over Portland Timbers 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Portland Timbers at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Vancouver Whitecaps had 46% of the ball to Portland Timbers's 54%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 2.48 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vancouver Whitecaps had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vancouver Whitecaps and 1.67 for Portland Timbers.

What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs Portland Timbers?

Vancouver Whitecaps 5-0 Portland Timbers in the USA - Major League on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Portland Timbers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Portland Timbers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vancouver Whitecaps 33%, draw 25%, Portland Timbers 41%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Portland Timbers), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portland Timbers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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