Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 Portland Timbers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 29 Sep 2024

Vancouver Whitecaps
1-1 HT 1-1
Portland Timbers
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Portland Timbers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.67
2-3 Goals
37%
2.02
4-5 Goals
30%
2.62
6+ Goals
14%
6.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.59
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
9%
4.92
X/2
9%
7.45
X/X
12%
6.11
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
20.7
2/2
15%
4.57
2/X
5%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.7 — our 12% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.5pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vancouver Whitecaps v Portland Timbers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
2.01/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.88
-3% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
366 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 84%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
23.7 Crosses 14.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Portland Timbers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Portland Timbers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.79 xG 1.47
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
338 Passes 433
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.06.2024 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-0 HT 2-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
31.03.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 3-2 HT 2-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
27.08.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-3 HT 0-2 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
14.05.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 3-1 HT 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
09.04.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-0 HT 0-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
18.07.2022 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 1-1 HT 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD

Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 Portland Timbers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
1-1
AWAY Portland Timbers
1.03 xG 0.51
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
435 Passes 351
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vancouver Whitecaps vs Portland Timbers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver Whitecaps and Portland Timbers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vancouver Whitecaps at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Vancouver Whitecaps had 53% of the ball to Portland Timbers's 47%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.03 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vancouver Whitecaps had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vancouver Whitecaps and 1.67 for Portland Timbers.

What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs Portland Timbers?

Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 Portland Timbers in the USA - Major League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Portland Timbers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Vancouver Whitecaps 46%, draw 23%, Portland Timbers 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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