Portland Timbers 2-0 Vancouver Whitecaps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.62
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.87
6+ Goals
11%
8.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.86
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
14%
5.05
X/2
9%
6.83
X/X
13%
5.45
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
17%
4.36
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.0pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.58/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.05
+12% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
19.8 Crosses 19.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portland Timbers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.43 xG 2.07
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
425 Passes 353
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 3-2 HT 2-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
27.08.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-3 HT 0-2 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
14.05.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 3-1 HT 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
09.04.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-0 HT 0-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
18.07.2022 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 1-1 HT 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
10.04.2022 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-3 HT 0-1 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portland Timbers
2-0
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
1.51 xG 0.84
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
480 Passes 325
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 16
5 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Portland Timbers vs Vancouver Whitecaps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portland Timbers saw off Vancouver Whitecaps 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Portland Timbers as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Portland Timbers had 57% of the ball to Vancouver Whitecaps's 43%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.51 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vancouver Whitecaps led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Portland Timbers and 1.83 for Vancouver Whitecaps.

What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Portland Timbers 2-0 Vancouver Whitecaps in the USA - Major League on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portland Timbers vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Timbers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Portland Timbers 42%, draw 26%, Vancouver Whitecaps 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portland Timbers) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portland Timbers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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