Vancouver Whitecaps vs Portland Timbers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vancouver Whitecaps v Portland Timbers — Team-Based Signals
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Portland Timbers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 0-2
Vancouver Whitecaps
ABD
3-1
HT 2-1
Vancouver Whitecaps
ABD
1-0
HT 0-0
Portland Timbers
ABD
1-1
HT 0-1
Vancouver Whitecaps
ABD
2-3
HT 0-1
Portland Timbers
ABD
2-3
HT 2-0
Vancouver Whitecaps
ABD
Vancouver Whitecaps 3-2 Portland Timbers — Actual Match Statistics
Vancouver Whitecaps edged past Portland Timbers 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Vancouver Whitecaps as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Vancouver Whitecaps had 44% of the ball to Portland Timbers's 56%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 3.17 to 1.15 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Vancouver Whitecaps's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vancouver Whitecaps had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Vancouver Whitecaps and 1.83 for Portland Timbers.
What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs Portland Timbers?
Vancouver Whitecaps 3-2 Portland Timbers in the USA - Major League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Portland Timbers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Vancouver Whitecaps 47%, draw 23%, Portland Timbers 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.