Krylya Sovetov 3-6 Dinamo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 24 Oct 2024

📅24/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.11
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.06
6+ Goals
14%
9.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+3.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.6pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
1.53/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.94
+19% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -57%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
212 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krylya Sovetov
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.61 xG 1.21
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
334 Passes 347
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.08.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 5-1 HT 3-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
17.08.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
18.05.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 4-1 HT 1-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
19.02.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov HAZ
29.07.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 3-3 HT 1-3 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
05.03.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krylya Sovetov
3-6
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 12
10 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Krylya Sovetov vs Dinamo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Moscow swept aside Krylya Sovetov 6-3 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Dinamo Moscow found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Krylya Sovetov had 56% of the ball to Dinamo Moscow's 44%, shots finished 15-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Moscow led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Krylya Sovetov and 2.50 for Dinamo Moscow.

What was the final score of Krylya Sovetov vs Dinamo Moscow?

Krylya Sovetov 3-6 Dinamo Moscow in the Russia - Cup on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krylya Sovetov vs Dinamo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krylya Sovetov win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Krylya Sovetov 40%, draw 24%, Dinamo Moscow 36%. The final score 3-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Krylya Sovetov) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Krylya Sovetov) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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