Wuhan Three Towns 1-2 Shenzhen FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 24 Oct 2025

📅24/10/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 32% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.93
1/2
9%
28.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1 EV+ ✗
22%
5.88
X/2
14%
5.68
X/X
16%
4.52
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
10%
3.72
2/X
5%
12.75
Value flag · X/1 at 5.88 — our 22% vs market 13.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.54/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.80
-23% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +77%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
291 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 80%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
24.1 Crosses 21.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Shenzhen FC
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.21 xG 0.85
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
391 Passes 310
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.06.2025 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
03.08.2024 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 4-1 HT 3-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
14.04.2024 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
29.10.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 1-0 HT 0-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
03.07.2023 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
26.11.2022 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-4 HT 0-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
1-2
AWAY Shenzhen FC
0.42 xG 1.28
64% Ball Possession 36%
9 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
439 Passes 223
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 12
39 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wuhan Three Towns vs Shenzhen FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shenzhen FC edged past Wuhan Three Towns 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Shenzhen FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Wuhan Three Towns had 64% of the ball to Shenzhen FC's 36%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.42 to 1.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wuhan Three Towns had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Wuhan Three Towns and 0.67 for Shenzhen FC.

What was the final score of Wuhan Three Towns vs Shenzhen FC?

Wuhan Three Towns 1-2 Shenzhen FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wuhan Three Towns vs Shenzhen FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wuhan Three Towns win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Wuhan Three Towns 39%, draw 28%, Shenzhen FC 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wuhan Three Towns), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wuhan Three Towns) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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