Guingamp vs Clermont Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guingamp v Clermont — Team-Based Signals
Guingamp vs Clermont Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-5
HT 0-2
Clermont
FR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Guingamp
FR2
1-2
HT 0-2
Clermont
FR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Clermont
FR2
Guingamp 0-1 Clermont — Actual Match Statistics
Clermont nicked a narrow win over Guingamp 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
This one beat our numbers. Guingamp carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Guingamp had 63% of the ball to Clermont's 37%, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 1.38 to 0.44 — on chances, Guingamp could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Clermont led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Guingamp and 2.00 for Clermont.
What was the final score of Guingamp vs Clermont?
Guingamp 0-1 Clermont in the France - Ligue 2 on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Clermont?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 56%, draw 22%, Clermont 22%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.