Guingamp 3-1 Clermont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 7 Mar 2025

Guingamp
3-1 HT 0-1
Clermont
📅07/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Guingamp vs Clermont Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.46
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.24
6+ Goals
9%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 26% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.01
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.95
X/1
15%
4.08
X/2
10%
10.65
X/X
12%
5.46
2/1
7%
22.55
2/2
11%
8.63
2/X
7%
16.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-10.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Guingamp v Clermont — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Clermont EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.76/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.41
+14% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
415 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
21.3 Crosses 18.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Guingamp vs Clermont Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guingamp
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Clermont
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.04 xG 1.87
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
378 Passes 436
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.10.2024 Clermont Clermont 4-1 HT 2-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
02.03.2021 Guingamp Guingamp 0-5 HT 0-2 Clermont Clermont FR2
07.11.2020 Clermont Clermont 0-0 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
25.10.2019 Guingamp Guingamp 1-2 HT 0-2 Clermont Clermont FR2
06.04.2013 Guingamp Guingamp 0-0 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR2
02.11.2012 Clermont Clermont 1-2 HT 1-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2

Guingamp 3-1 Clermont — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp
3-1
AWAY Clermont
3.01 xG 0.29
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 4
12 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 0
485 Passes 239
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
39 Box Touches 4
34 Crosses 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Guingamp vs Clermont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guingamp beat Clermont 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Guingamp as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Guingamp had 65% of the ball to Clermont's 35%, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 3.01 to 0.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Clermont led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Guingamp and 2.00 for Clermont.

What was the final score of Guingamp vs Clermont?

Guingamp 3-1 Clermont in the France - Ligue 2 on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Clermont?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 48%, draw 25%, Clermont 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guingamp) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guingamp) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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