Caen 0-1 Stade Lavallois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 7 Mar 2025

Caen
0-1 HT 0-1
Stade Lavallois
📅07/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Caen vs Stade Lavallois Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.51
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.4
6+ Goals
8%
23.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.8
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.2
X/1
17%
4.4
X/2
14%
7.25
X/X
18%
4.13
2/1
5%
28.0
2/2
7%
6.0
2/X
8%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-6.8pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+4.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.1pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Caen v Stade Lavallois — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caen EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.33/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.34
+0% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
367 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
22.7 Crosses 18.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Caen vs Stade Lavallois Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Stade Lavallois
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.19 xG 1.07
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
440 Passes 268
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.12.2024 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-0 HT 1-0 Caen Caen FR2
03.05.2024 Caen Caen 1-0 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
02.09.2023 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 2-1 HT 0-0 Caen Caen FR2
28.01.2023 Caen Caen 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
15.10.2022 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 4-0 HT 2-0 Caen Caen FR2
17.01.2014 Caen Caen 2-1 HT 1-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2

Caen 0-1 Stade Lavallois — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caen
0-1
AWAY Stade Lavallois
0.80 xG 1.06
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 1
453 Passes 223
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Caen vs Stade Lavallois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Lavallois edged past Caen 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Stade Lavallois found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Caen had 64% of the ball to Stade Lavallois's 36%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.80 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stade Lavallois led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Caen and 1.33 for Stade Lavallois.

What was the final score of Caen vs Stade Lavallois?

Caen 0-1 Stade Lavallois in the France - Ligue 2 on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caen vs Stade Lavallois?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Caen 40%, draw 31%, Stade Lavallois 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Caen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR2 More France - Ligue 2
7 Mar 2025
22:00 Red Star FC 93 vs Amiens SC Analysis →
22:00 Pau vs Troyes Analysis →
22:00 Grenoble vs Ajaccio Analysis →
22:00 Guingamp vs Clermont Analysis →
22:00 Bastia vs Martigues Analysis →