Grenoble 2-2 Ajaccio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.22
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
5.14
6+ Goals
9%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.31
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.05
X/1
17%
4.73
X/2
9%
6.4
X/X
14%
3.66
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
12%
5.27
2/X
12%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.2pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grenoble EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajaccio EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -19%
1.30/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.16
-2% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
16.3 Crosses 15.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grenoble
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ajaccio
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.06 xG 1.24
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
332 Passes 317
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2024 Ajaccio Ajaccio 2-0 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
10.05.2024 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-2 HT 0-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
04.11.2023 Grenoble Grenoble 0-3 HT 0-2 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
07.05.2022 Grenoble Grenoble 1-1 HT 1-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
21.12.2021 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-0 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
30.01.2021 Ajaccio Ajaccio 2-1 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grenoble
2-2
AWAY Ajaccio
1.63 xG 0.98
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 5
431 Passes 303
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grenoble vs Ajaccio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grenoble and Ajaccio shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Grenoble at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Grenoble had 57% of the ball to Ajaccio's 43%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.63 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajaccio led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Grenoble and 1.67 for Ajaccio.

What was the final score of Grenoble vs Ajaccio?

Grenoble 2-2 Ajaccio in the France - Ligue 2 on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grenoble vs Ajaccio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grenoble win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Grenoble 41%, draw 31%, Ajaccio 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Grenoble) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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