Ajaccio 2-0 Grenoble — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.13
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
17%
5.95
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.08
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
18%
5.17
X/2
11%
5.33
X/X
17%
3.42
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
15%
4.27
2/X
7%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.9pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.7pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajaccio EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Grenoble EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.22/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.23
-8% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
19.4 Crosses 15.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajaccio
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Grenoble
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.23 xG 1.08
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
338 Passes 315
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2024 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-2 HT 0-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
04.11.2023 Grenoble Grenoble 0-3 HT 0-2 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
07.05.2022 Grenoble Grenoble 1-1 HT 1-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
21.12.2021 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-0 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
30.01.2021 Ajaccio Ajaccio 2-1 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
19.09.2020 Grenoble Grenoble 2-0 HT 1-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajaccio
2-0
AWAY Grenoble
1.34 xG 0.59
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
252 Passes 329
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ajaccio vs Grenoble
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajaccio saw off Grenoble 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Ajaccio made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Ajaccio had 44% of the ball to Grenoble's 56%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.34 to 0.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajaccio had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ajaccio and 1.00 for Grenoble.

What was the final score of Ajaccio vs Grenoble?

Ajaccio 2-0 Grenoble in the France - Ligue 2 on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajaccio vs Grenoble?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajaccio win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ajaccio 38%, draw 30%, Grenoble 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajaccio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ajaccio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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