Metz 6-0 Martigues — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.5
6+ Goals
8%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 30% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.69
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
20.3
X/1
17%
3.38
X/2
6%
15.6
X/X
12%
5.93
2/1
13%
25.5
2/2
9%
13.5
2/X
5%
21.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
67%
-9.0pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.7pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+7.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.8pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metz EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Martigues EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +47%
1.47/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.73
-25% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -16%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
20.8 Crosses 10.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metz
6-0
AWAY Martigues
4.40 xG 0.66
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
595 Passes 233
91% Pass Accuracy 76%
34 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Metz vs Martigues
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metz cruised past Martigues 6-0. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Metz as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Metz had 68% of the ball to Martigues's 32%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 4.40 to 0.66.

What was the final score of Metz vs Martigues?

Metz 6-0 Martigues in the France - Ligue 2 on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metz vs Martigues?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metz win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Metz 58%, draw 23%, Martigues 20%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metz), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Metz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR2 More France - Ligue 2
24 Sep 2024
21:30 Paris FC vs Guingamp Analysis →
21:30 Annecy vs Troyes Analysis →
21:30 Dunkerque vs Bastia Analysis →
21:30 Pau vs Lorient Analysis →
21:30 Clermont vs Red Star FC 93 Analysis →
21:30 Ajaccio vs Grenoble Analysis →