Pau vs Lorient Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pau v Lorient — Team-Based Signals
Pau 1-0 Lorient — Actual Match Statistics
Pau nicked a narrow win over Lorient 1-0.
Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Pau found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Pau had 52% of the ball to Lorient's 48%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 1.10 to 0.19.
What was the final score of Pau vs Lorient?
Pau 1-0 Lorient in the France - Ligue 2 on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pau vs Lorient?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lorient win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pau 35%, draw 26%, Lorient 40%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.