Paris FC 2-0 Guingamp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.71
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.32
6+ Goals
10%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 33% vs market 30.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.21
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
13%
4.73
X/2
8%
6.34
X/X
20%
4.05
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
12%
4.85
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.7pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.0pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Guingamp EU Bookmakers 33%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.44/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.23
+12% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
17.2 Crosses 17.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Guingamp
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.45 xG 1.01
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
415 Passes 340
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2024 Paris FC Paris FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
02.12.2023 Guingamp Guingamp 0-1 HT 0-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
04.03.2023 Paris FC Paris FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
13.08.2022 Guingamp Guingamp 0-0 HT 0-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
19.02.2022 Guingamp Guingamp 1-1 HT 0-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
11.09.2021 Paris FC Paris FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris FC
2-0
AWAY Guingamp
1.39 xG 0.79
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
429 Passes 363
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paris FC vs Guingamp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris FC saw off Guingamp 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 33% / 28% — and on the day Paris FC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Paris FC had 53% of the ball to Guingamp's 47%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.39 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Paris FC and 0.83 for Guingamp.

What was the final score of Paris FC vs Guingamp?

Paris FC 2-0 Guingamp in the France - Ligue 2 on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris FC vs Guingamp?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Paris FC 39%, draw 33%, Guingamp 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paris FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR2 More France - Ligue 2
24 Sep 2024
21:30 Annecy vs Troyes Analysis →
21:30 Metz vs Martigues Analysis →
21:30 Dunkerque vs Bastia Analysis →
21:30 Pau vs Lorient Analysis →
21:30 Clermont vs Red Star FC 93 Analysis →
21:30 Ajaccio vs Grenoble Analysis →