Bastia vs Martigues Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bastia v Martigues — Team-Based Signals
Bastia vs Martigues Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Bastia 1-0 Martigues — Actual Match Statistics
Bastia squeezed past Martigues 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bastia as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.
On the day, Bastia had 55% of the ball to Martigues's 45%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 2.39 to 1.42.
What was the final score of Bastia vs Martigues?
Bastia 1-0 Martigues in the France - Ligue 2 on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bastia vs Martigues?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bastia win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Bastia 58%, draw 22%, Martigues 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bastia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.