Gorica 1-3 Krka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 24 Oct 2025

Gorica
1-3 HT 0-2
Krka
📅24/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-0.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gorica EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Krka EU Bookmakers 26%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
1.73/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.19
+0% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
328 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gorica
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Krka
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Krka Krka 1-3 HT 0-2 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
21.09.2024 Gorica Gorica 1-0 HT 0-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
22.03.2024 Gorica Gorica 2-0 HT 1-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
08.09.2023 Krka Krka 1-2 HT 0-0 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
27.03.2022 Krka Krka 2-2 HT 1-1 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
06.12.2015 Krka Krka 1-0 HT 0-0 Gorica Gorica SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gorica
1-3
AWAY Krka
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gorica vs Krka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krka saw off Gorica 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Gorica at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Gorica had 56% of the ball to Krka's 44%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gorica had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gorica and 0.83 for Krka.

What was the final score of Gorica vs Krka?

Gorica 1-3 Krka in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gorica vs Krka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Gorica 52%, draw 24%, Krka 24%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gorica), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gorica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVN2 More Slovenia - 2.SNL
24 Oct 2025
21:00 Tabor Sezana vs NK Brinje Analysis →