Ponferradina vs Amorebieta Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ponferradina v Amorebieta — Team-Based Signals
Ponferradina vs Amorebieta Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Ponferradina
İS2
1-1
HT 0-1
Amorebieta
İS2
Ponferradina 5-2 Amorebieta — Actual Match Statistics
Ponferradina cruised past Amorebieta 5-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Ponferradina as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ponferradina had 61% of the ball to Amorebieta's 39%, shots finished 20-5.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Amorebieta led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ponferradina and 1.00 for Amorebieta.
What was the final score of Ponferradina vs Amorebieta?
Ponferradina 5-2 Amorebieta in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ponferradina vs Amorebieta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ponferradina 53%, draw 25%, Amorebieta 22%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ponferradina) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.