Villarreal II 3-2 Atletico Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.47
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
4.94
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+4.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.2pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal II EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +22%
1.24/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.71
-1% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +58%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal II
3-2
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Villarreal II vs Atletico Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villarreal II squeezed past Atletico Madrid II 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Villarreal II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Villarreal II had 46% of the ball to Atletico Madrid II's 54%, shots finished 12-11.

What was the final score of Villarreal II vs Atletico Madrid II?

Villarreal II 3-2 Atletico Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal II vs Atletico Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Villarreal II 43%, draw 27%, Atletico Madrid II 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villarreal II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Villarreal II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
24 Nov 2024
14:00 Real Union vs Ourense CF Analysis →
14:00 Tarazona vs Celta Vigo II Analysis →
14:00 Fuenlabrada vs Real Madrid II Analysis →
14:00 Alcorcon vs Algeciras Analysis →
14:00 Alcoyano vs Ceuta Analysis →
17:30 Marbella vs Yeclano Analysis →