Linares Deportivo 0-1 Orihuela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.8pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.2pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.8pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linares Deportivo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Orihuela EU Bookmakers 31%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.25
+66% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
288 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
POST-MATCH Linares Deportivo vs Orihuela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orihuela edged past Linares Deportivo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Orihuela found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Linares Deportivo vs Orihuela?

Linares Deportivo 0-1 Orihuela in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linares Deportivo vs Orihuela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linares Deportivo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Linares Deportivo 39%, draw 30%, Orihuela 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Linares Deportivo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Linares Deportivo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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