Sant Andreu 0-2 Pena Deportiva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+5.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sant Andreu EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Pena Deportiva EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
2.16/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.23
+39% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sant Andreu
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Pena Deportiva
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 1-3 HT 1-1 Sant Andreu Sant Andreu İS4
05.11.2023 Sant Andreu Sant Andreu 2-2 HT 1-1 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sant Andreu
0-2
AWAY Pena Deportiva
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sant Andreu vs Pena Deportiva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pena Deportiva beat Sant Andreu 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sant Andreu at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Sant Andreu had 68% of the ball to Pena Deportiva's 32%, shots finished 18-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sant Andreu had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sant Andreu and 1.50 for Pena Deportiva.

What was the final score of Sant Andreu vs Pena Deportiva?

Sant Andreu 0-2 Pena Deportiva in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sant Andreu vs Pena Deportiva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sant Andreu win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sant Andreu 48%, draw 25%, Pena Deportiva 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sant Andreu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sant Andreu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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