UD San Fernando 0-1 Xerez Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
22%
3.04
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+1.2pp
22%
Draw
29%
-7.2pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.4pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD San Fernando EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Xerez Deportivo EU Bookmakers 27%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +2%
0.47/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.35
-64% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD San Fernando
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Xerez Deportivo
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
24.04.2022 UD San Fernando UD San Fernando 0-1 HT 0-0 Xerez Deportivo İS4
05.12.2021 Xerez Deportivo 1-0 HT 0-0 UD San Fernando UD San Fernando İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD San Fernando
0-1
AWAY Xerez Deportivo
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UD San Fernando vs Xerez Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xerez Deportivo edged past UD San Fernando 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was UD San Fernando at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, UD San Fernando had 51% of the ball to Xerez Deportivo's 49%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Xerez Deportivo led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for UD San Fernando and 1.00 for Xerez Deportivo.

What was the final score of UD San Fernando vs Xerez Deportivo?

UD San Fernando 0-1 Xerez Deportivo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD San Fernando vs Xerez Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD San Fernando win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split UD San Fernando 48%, draw 22%, Xerez Deportivo 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (UD San Fernando) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UD San Fernando) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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