Audace Cerignola 3-1 Cavese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.59
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.65
6+ Goals
9%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cavese EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -17%
1.47/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.11
-7% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audace Cerignola
3-1
AWAY Cavese
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Audace Cerignola vs Cavese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audace Cerignola got the better of Cavese 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Audace Cerignola as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Audace Cerignola had 49% of the ball to Cavese's 51%, shots finished 15-11.

What was the final score of Audace Cerignola vs Cavese?

Audace Cerignola 3-1 Cavese in the Italy - Serie C on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audace Cerignola vs Cavese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audace Cerignola win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Audace Cerignola 45%, draw 28%, Cavese 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Audace Cerignola) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Audace Cerignola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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