Fiorentina (K) 2-2 AC Milan (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
25%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+9.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Milan (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
3.05/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+107% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
409 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.5 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY AC Milan (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.18 xG 1.82
45% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
226 Passes 302
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
14.09.2024 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) 1-2 HT 1-2 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
03.02.2024 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) 2-2 HT 2-1 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina (K)
2-2
AWAY AC Milan (K)
1.32 xG 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
259 Passes 341
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fiorentina (K) vs AC Milan (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina (K) and AC Milan (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Fiorentina (K) at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Fiorentina (K) had 47% of the ball to AC Milan (K)'s 53%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.32 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fiorentina (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fiorentina (K) and 1.50 for AC Milan (K).

What was the final score of Fiorentina (K) vs AC Milan (K)?

Fiorentina (K) 2-2 AC Milan (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina (K) vs AC Milan (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina (K) 44%, draw 25%, AC Milan (K) 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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