Sassuolo (K) 1-1 Roma (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
7.18
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
55%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.61
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
23%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
11%
+11.7pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.0pp
55%
Away Win
72%
-17.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 77%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.49/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.19
+150% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -39%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
193 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 81%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.8
15.0 Crosses 19.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo (K)
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Roma (K)
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.02 xG 1.76
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
245 Passes 386
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.09.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
01.05.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 5-6 HT 1-3 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
23.03.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
13.02.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
19.11.2023 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo (K)
1-1
AWAY Roma (K)
0.04 xG 2.58
34% Ball Possession 66%
2 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
149 Passes 408
53% Pass Accuracy 77%
5 Box Touches 45
10 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sassuolo (K) vs Roma (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo (K) and Roma (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Roma (K) at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sassuolo (K) had 34% of the ball to Roma (K)'s 66%, shots finished 2-23, expected goals 0.04 to 2.58.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Roma (K) led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Sassuolo (K) and 3.00 for Roma (K).

What was the final score of Sassuolo (K) vs Roma (K)?

Sassuolo (K) 1-1 Roma (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo (K) vs Roma (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo (K) 23%, draw 22%, Roma (K) 55%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roma (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
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