Nice 2-1 RC Strasbourg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.13
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
3.11
6+ Goals
12%
9.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.32
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
4%
13.8
X/1
13%
4.32
X/2
8%
8.98
X/X
12%
5.43
2/1 EV+ ✓
9%
22.55
2/2
13%
6.41
2/X
7%
14.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.55 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-3.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.0pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nice EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.58/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.38
-12% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
401 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
20.1 Crosses 14.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nice
2W-2D-2L
AWAY RC Strasbourg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.17 xG 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
437 Passes 349
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-3 HT 1-1 Nice Nice FR1
03.09.2023 Nice Nice 2-0 HT 1-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
13.05.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-0 HT 1-0 Nice Nice FR1
14.08.2022 Nice Nice 1-1 HT 1-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
26.02.2022 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 0-0 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1
05.12.2021 Nice Nice 0-3 HT 0-1 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nice
2-1
AWAY RC Strasbourg
2.12 xG 0.42
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
429 Passes 365
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
34 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nice vs RC Strasbourg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nice nicked a narrow win over RC Strasbourg 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nice as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nice had 54% of the ball to RC Strasbourg's 46%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.12 to 0.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Nice's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nice and 1.17 for RC Strasbourg.

What was the final score of Nice vs RC Strasbourg?

Nice 2-1 RC Strasbourg in the France - Ligue 1 on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nice vs RC Strasbourg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nice 50%, draw 23%, RC Strasbourg 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nice), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nice) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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