Nantes 0-2 Le Havre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.48
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
4.92
6+ Goals
10%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.64
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.0
X/1
13%
4.06
X/2
8%
8.08
X/X
13%
4.01
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
11%
6.9
2/X
10%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.4pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.5pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+4.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.4pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantes EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Havre EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.52/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.62
-13% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +103%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
390 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
25.5 Crosses 13.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantes
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Le Havre
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.06 xG 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
448 Passes 280
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Le Havre Le Havre 0-1 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
26.11.2023 Nantes Nantes 0-0 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
23.02.2013 Nantes Nantes 2-0 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
21.09.2012 Le Havre Le Havre 1-1 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR2
05.03.2012 Nantes Nantes 1-0 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
01.10.2011 Le Havre Le Havre 1-1 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantes
0-2
AWAY Le Havre
0.87 xG 0.83
70% Ball Possession 30%
18 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
548 Passes 198
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 11
42 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nantes vs Le Havre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Havre got the better of Nantes 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nantes at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Nantes had 70% of the ball to Le Havre's 30%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 0.87 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nantes had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nantes and 0.33 for Le Havre.

What was the final score of Nantes vs Le Havre?

Nantes 0-2 Le Havre in the France - Ligue 1 on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantes vs Le Havre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nantes win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nantes 42%, draw 31%, Le Havre 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nantes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nantes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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