Lille 1-0 Rennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 24 Nov 2024

Lille
1-0 HT 1-0
Rennes
📅24/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.88
2-3 Goals
33%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
4.15
6+ Goals
10%
19.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.54
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.5
X/1
17%
4.15
X/2
11%
8.22
X/X
16%
4.42
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
11%
6.64
2/X
8%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-8.6pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lille EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Rennes EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
1.53/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.56
+7% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
437 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
16.9 Crosses 14.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lille
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Rennes
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.78 xG 1.06
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
422 Passes 351
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Lille Lille 2-2 HT 0-2 Rennes Rennes FR1
16.09.2023 Rennes Rennes 2-2 HT 0-1 Lille Lille FR1
04.02.2023 Rennes Rennes 1-3 HT 1-0 Lille Lille FR1
06.11.2022 Lille Lille 1-1 HT 1-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
21.05.2022 Lille Lille 2-2 HT 1-1 Rennes Rennes FR1
01.12.2021 Rennes Rennes 1-2 HT 0-2 Lille Lille FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lille
1-0
AWAY Rennes
0.41 xG 0.18
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
393 Passes 347
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 5
11 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lille vs Rennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lille edged past Rennes 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lille as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Lille had 53% of the ball to Rennes's 47%, shots finished 5-4, expected goals 0.41 to 0.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lille had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lille and 1.50 for Rennes.

What was the final score of Lille vs Rennes?

Lille 1-0 Rennes in the France - Ligue 1 on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lille vs Rennes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lille 41%, draw 31%, Rennes 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lille), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lille) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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