Auxerre 1-0 Angers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.64
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.38
6+ Goals
11%
12.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.3
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
16%
4.21
X/2
7%
9.24
X/X
12%
5.07
2/1
6%
23.85
2/2 EV+ ✗
15%
6.94
2/X
5%
14.7
Value flag · 2/2 at 6.94 — our 15% vs market 10.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+4.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auxerre EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Angers EU Bookmakers 25%
+11% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -15%
1.08/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.56
-33% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
424 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
12.0 Crosses 16.1
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auxerre
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Angers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.48 xG 1.06
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
317 Passes 368
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Auxerre Auxerre 1-0 HT 0-0 Angers Angers FR2
19.08.2023 Angers Angers 2-2 HT 1-1 Auxerre Auxerre FR2
12.02.2023 Angers Angers 1-1 HT 1-1 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
17.12.2022 Angers Angers 2-2 HT 1-1 Auxerre Auxerre HAZ
14.08.2022 Auxerre Auxerre 2-2 HT 2-1 Angers Angers FR1
02.03.2015 Auxerre Auxerre 0-1 HT 0-0 Angers Angers FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auxerre
1-0
AWAY Angers
0.59 xG 0.88
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
375 Passes 410
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Auxerre vs Angers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auxerre squeezed past Angers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Auxerre as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Auxerre had 48% of the ball to Angers's 52%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.59 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Auxerre and 1.33 for Angers.

What was the final score of Auxerre vs Angers?

Auxerre 1-0 Angers in the France - Ligue 1 on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auxerre vs Angers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auxerre win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Auxerre 50%, draw 23%, Angers 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auxerre) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Auxerre) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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