NEC Nijmegen 1-2 Utrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 24 Nov 2024

NEC Nijmegen
1-2 HT 0-1
Utrecht
📅24/11/2024 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.53
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.46
6+ Goals
12%
13.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.12
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
10%
5.09
X/2
12%
6.71
X/X
14%
4.6
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
26.5
2/2
16%
4.63
2/X
5%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.4pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

NEC Nijmegen v Utrecht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NEC Nijmegen EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +20%
1.89/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.41
+47% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
380 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
21.5 Crosses 18.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NEC Nijmegen
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Utrecht
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.16 xG 1.68
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
383 Passes 346
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.03.2024 Utrecht Utrecht 1-0 HT 0-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
23.09.2023 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3-0 HT 2-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
12.03.2023 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 2-2 HT 1-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
16.09.2022 Utrecht Utrecht 0-0 HT 0-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
29.04.2022 Utrecht Utrecht 1-0 HT 0-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
22.09.2021 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 0-3 HT 0-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL

NEC Nijmegen 1-2 Utrecht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NEC Nijmegen
1-2
AWAY Utrecht
1.32 xG 0.63
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
459 Passes 247
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utrecht nicked a narrow win over NEC Nijmegen 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Utrecht made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, NEC Nijmegen had 62% of the ball to Utrecht's 38%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.32 to 0.63 — the balance of chances actually favoured NEC Nijmegen.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for NEC Nijmegen and 1.17 for Utrecht.

What was the final score of NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht?

NEC Nijmegen 1-2 Utrecht in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split NEC Nijmegen 39%, draw 25%, Utrecht 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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