Willem II 2-2 NAC Breda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.52
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
4.81
6+ Goals
7%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.47
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.75
X/1
13%
4.89
X/2
14%
6.13
X/X
20%
3.85
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
12%
4.77
2/X
5%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.0pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.5pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Willem II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY NAC Breda EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -19%
1.23/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.40
-6% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
20.1 Crosses 19.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Willem II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY NAC Breda
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.41 xG 0.69
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
298 Passes 328
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2023 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-2 HT 0-2 Willem II Willem II HOL2
05.09.2023 Willem II Willem II 1-4 HT 0-2 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
03.09.2023 Willem II Willem II 0-3 HT 0-2 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
25.04.2023 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-1 HT 0-0 Willem II Willem II HOL2
11.12.2022 Willem II Willem II 1-2 HT 1-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
20.01.2019 Willem II Willem II 2-0 HT 1-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Willem II
2-2
AWAY NAC Breda
2.16 xG 1.32
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 0
436 Passes 217
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 15
33 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Willem II vs NAC Breda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Willem II and NAC Breda shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Willem II had 64% of the ball to NAC Breda's 36%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.16 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NAC Breda led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Willem II and 1.83 for NAC Breda.

What was the final score of Willem II vs NAC Breda?

Willem II 2-2 NAC Breda in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Willem II vs NAC Breda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Willem II 39%, draw 29%, NAC Breda 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Willem II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL More Netherlands - Eredivisie
24 Nov 2024
14:15 NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht Analysis →
16:30 Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar Analysis →
18:45 Ajax vs PEC Zwolle Analysis →