Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sparta Rotterdam v AZ Alkmaar — Team-Based Signals
Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Sparta Rotterdam
HOL
0-1
HT 0-1
Sparta Rotterdam
HOL
2-3
HT 1-1
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
1-1
HT 0-0
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
3-1
HT 2-1
Sparta Rotterdam
HOL
Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 AZ Alkmaar — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar edged past Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day AZ Alkmaar made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Sparta Rotterdam had 52% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar's 48%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.01 to 0.14 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sparta Rotterdam.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.67 for AZ Alkmaar.
What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar?
Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 38%, draw 29%, AZ Alkmaar 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) went the other way.