Ajax 2-0 PEC Zwolle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.16
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
11%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.96
Over 2.5
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
7.1
2-3 Goals
38%
2.21
4-5 Goals
31%
2.49
6+ Goals
14%
4.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1.22
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
34.5
X/1
18%
3.51
X/2
4%
34.5
X/X
5%
12.95
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
4%
34.0
2/X
5%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
82%
-9.9pp
17%
Draw
12%
+5.3pp
11%
Away Win
6%
+4.6pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.3pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.4pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY PEC Zwolle EU Bookmakers 8%
-3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
3.01/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.59
+18% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -11%
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
513 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
52.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
24.4 Crosses 11.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax
4W-1D-1L
AWAY PEC Zwolle
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.11 xG 0.79
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
546 Passes 287
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
51 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.07.2024 Ajax Ajax 0-1 HT 0-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HAZ
31.03.2024 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-3 HT 0-2 Ajax Ajax HOL
17.12.2023 Ajax Ajax 2-2 HT 1-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
30.04.2022 Ajax Ajax 3-0 HT 1-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
11.09.2021 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 0-2 HT 0-1 Ajax Ajax HOL
14.03.2021 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 0-2 HT 0-2 Ajax Ajax HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax
2-0
AWAY PEC Zwolle
1.46 xG 1.28
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 0
547 Passes 401
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
35 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ajax vs PEC Zwolle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax beat PEC Zwolle 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ajax as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ajax had 57% of the ball to PEC Zwolle's 43%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 1.46 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ajax and 0.67 for PEC Zwolle.

What was the final score of Ajax vs PEC Zwolle?

Ajax 2-0 PEC Zwolle in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax vs PEC Zwolle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Ajax 72%, draw 17%, PEC Zwolle 11%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajax) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL More Netherlands - Eredivisie
24 Nov 2024
14:15 NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht Analysis →
16:30 Willem II vs NAC Breda Analysis →
16:30 Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar Analysis →